[PrestoResearch] Why MSTR's NAV Premium Can go Higher

Summary
이 문서는 MicroStrategy(MSTR)의 NAV(순자산가치) 프리미엄이 정당하다는 주장을 중심으로, 회사의 비트코인(BTC) 확보 활동을 반복적인 가치 창출로 간주하여 수익 기반 평가 방식을 적용하는 새로운 관점을 제시합니다. 보고서는 MSTR의 BTC 보유량이 주식 희석보다 빠르게 증가하는지 측정하는 지표인 BTC Yield를 소개하며, 이러한 지속적인 성장이 현재의 시장 가치를 설명한다고 분석합니다. 또한, 2025년부터 적용될 예정인 BTC 회계 처리 방식의 변경이 MSTR의 손익을 개선하여 S&P 500 지수 편입 가능성을 높일 수 있다고 전망하며, BTC 청산 및 주요 인물(Key Man) 위험 등 투자 관련 위험 요인들도 함께 다룹니다.
This document presents a new perspective centered on the argument that MicroStrategy (MSTR)'s NAV (Net Asset Value) premium is justified, applying a revenue-based valuation approach by treating the company's Bitcoin (BTC) acquisition activities as recurring value creation. The report introduces BTC Yield, a metric measuring whether MSTR's BTC holdings are growing faster than its stock dilution, analyzing that this sustained growth explains its current market valuation. It also projects that the upcoming change in BTC accounting treatment, scheduled to take effect in 2025, could improve MSTR's earnings and enhance its potential for inclusion in the S&P 500 index. The report further addresses investment-related risk factors, including BTC liquidation and key man risk.
Sources: Presto Research
URL: https://www.prestolabs.io/research/why-mstrs-nav-premium-can-go-higher
Summary: Gemini and Notebook LM
Translation: DeepL
Disclaimer
This article is intended solely for informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. All investment decisions remain the sole responsibility of the reader. The publisher and author disclaim any liability for errors in translation or summarization, as well as any losses arising from reliance on this information.